June 2010

Introduction

Welcome to the June 2010 Strategic Investment Review. A summary of this report is available below.

 

Performance update

Most Man OM-IP funds posted gains for the second quarter of 2010, with an average gain of 1.2%^. This performance was achieved as concerns beset many local and global markets. Read more.

 

Performance chart of Man OM-IP 220 vs stock indices

This chart shows the performance of the first Man OM-IP fund, Man OM-IP 220, since its inception. The total return, net of fees, is compared to Australian and global stock indices. View chart.

 

Fund prices for the Man OM-IP funds

The June 2010 fund prices for the Man OM-IP funds are available. View fund prices.

 

Is a flight to safety the only option for investors at the moment?

The European debt crisis continues to threaten global financial stability. To date the crisis has centred on Greece, but it has also affected other economies such as Portugal, Spain, Ireland, Italy and the UK.

Markets were temporarily calmed when the European Central Bank announced a bailout package worth EUR 750 billion in May. However, this did not resolve the structural problems that affect many European economies – such as high levels of debt, mediocre growth rates, ageing demographics, increasing government expenditures and rising unemployment. Read more.

 

Man Series 6 OM-IP 220: an exciting opportunity for Shareholders

Shares in Man Series 6 OM-IP 220 are due to mature on 31 December 2010. The Directors have passed a resolution to provide Shareholders with the opportunity to continue their investment in the Company with the same features offered by their current investment. Read more.

 

 

^ Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The average performance figure for the Man OM-IP funds is an average quarterly return figure for all the Man OM-IP funds.

Performance update

Most Man OM-IP funds posted gains for the second quarter of 2010, with an average gain of 1.2%^. This performance was achieved as concerns beset many local and global markets.

Investor confidence hit

General investor anxiety rose during the quarter as many markets failed to cope with uncertainty provoked by a wave of negative news, including:

  • Moody's downgrading of Greece's debt to junk status,
  • fears of a contagion of sovereign debt problems spreading among Mediterranean countries in the Eurozone,
  • the calamitous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico,
  • subdued economic data released in June,
  • uncertainty over the US financial reform bill, and
  • concerns about military conflict in Korea.

"Safe-havens"

Against this sombre backdrop, the rush to "safe-haven" assets proved particularly profitable for the bond and short term interest rates sectors. In particular, long positions in US, European and Japanese bonds secured notable gains as prices surged in the wake of the Greek debt crisis. European bond prices were further boosted on news that the European Central Bank had started to buy government bonds in an attempt to stabilise nervous markets.

In the interest rate sector, long positions in Eurodollar, Euribor and short sterling contracts made gains as investors speculated that interest rates would be kept low. Long US Treasuries made advances as prices were further boosted after the Federal Reserve issued a cautious outlook for the US economy while domestic economic data was below expectation.

The aversion to risk also assisted the precious metals sector, with long positions in gold and silver accruing notable gains. Significant losses in the metals sector were long trades in nickel and copper as investors grew increasingly concerned over the outlook for demand.

Volatility affects currency, equity and energy trading

In currency trading, returns were mixed. For example, long positions in AUD against USD generated profits when the Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates early in April. However, the currency sector suffered as the general fall in commodity prices hit long positions in commodity-linked currencies such as AUD and BRL.

At the start of the quarter, rising equity markets proved beneficial to long positions, especially in US indices such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100. By the end of the quarter, performance lagged in the stock sector, particularly from long positions in US and Asian indices, as equities fell on rising concerns that the global recovery theme would be slowed by European sovereign debt troubles. Profits were trimmed in the stocks sector as the uncertain trading environment led to increased volatility, causing positions to whipsaw.

In energy trading, losses were mainly attributable to short positions in natural gas trading as gas prices recovered slightly. Prices were further supported as investors continued to speculate over the intensity of the approaching hurricane season in the US.

 Extract in PDF format.

Sector attribution of the AHL Diversified Program

January 2010 to June 2010

Source Man Investments.
Note Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Performance figures are calculated net of all fees as at 28 June 2010.
^ Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The average performance figure for the Man OM-IP funds is an average quarterly return figure for all the Man OM-IP funds.

 

Performance chart of Man OM-IP 220 vs stock indices

The chart below shows the performance of the first Man OM-IP fund, Man OM-IP 220, since its inception. The total return, net of fees, is compared to Australian and global stock indices.

Total return of Man OM-IP 220 vs stock indices

1 August 1997 to 30 June 2010

Source Man Investments Australia Limited.
Note Performance figures are calculated net of all fees as at 30 June 2010. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Fund prices for the Man OM-IP funds

The Man OM-IP funds below are closed to new investments. Please check products & prices for open funds. For more information on each fund, click on the fund name.

Fund Ccy Inception Valuation date Rising Guarantee+ Net Asset Value*
Man OM-IP 220
  AUD Aug 97 30 Jun 10 $4.5987 $5.2649
Man Series 2 OM-IP 220
  AUD Jan 98 30 Jun 10 $4.3027 $4.5537
Man Series 3 OM-IP 220
  AUD Jul 98 30 Jun 10 $3.6965 $3.7778
Man Series 4 OM-IP 220
  AUD Jun 00 30 Jun 10 $3.1606 $2.8909
Man Series 5 OM-IP 220
  Matured
Man Series 6 OM-IP 220
  AUD Jun 01 30 Jun 10 $1.5605 $2.1399
Man Series 7 OM-IP 220
  AUD Jun 02 30 Jun 10 $1.3901 $1.9645
Man Series 8 OM-IP 220
  AUD Nov 02 30 Jun 10 $1.4330 $1.8001
Man Series 9 OM-IP 220
  AUD Oct 03 30 Jun 10 $1.1810 $1.4601
Man Series 10 OM-IP 220
  AUD May 05 30 Jun 10 $1.2155 $1.4769
Man Series 11 OM-IP 220
  AUD Apr 06 30 Jun 10 $1.0105 $1.1092
Man Series 12 OM-IP 220
  AUD Dec 07 30 Jun 10 $1.0000 $0.9530
Man OM-IP 220 2008
  AUD Dec 08 30 Jun 10 $1.0000 $0.9123
Man OM-IP 320 Diversified
  AUD Dec 98 30 Jun 10 $2.0824 $1.6081
Man OM-IP Strategic
  AUD Aug 99 30 Jun 10 $2.6834 $2.0934
Man OM-IP Strategic Series 2
  AUD Dec 99 30 Jun 10 $2.0970 $1.9188
Man OM-IP Hedge Plus
  AUD Jan 02 30 Jun 10 $1.2221 $1.3356
Man OM-IP 130 Plus
  AUD Jul 03 30 Jun 10 $1.5028 $1.4213
Man OM-IP 140 Plus
  NZD Aug 03 30 Jun 10 $1.6060 $1.5303
Man OM-IP 140 Plus (AUD)
  AUD Jun 04 30 Jun 10 $1.5879 $1.4448
Man OM-IP 150 Plus (NZD)
  NZD Jun 04 30 Jun 10 $1.7016 $1.5486
Man Series 2 OM-IP 150 Plus (NZD)
  NZD Aug 05 30 Jun 10 $1.5000 $1.2796
Man Series 2 OM-IP 140 Plus (AUD)
  AUD Aug 05 30 Jun 10 $1.4000 $1.1471
Man OM-IP MultiStrategy
  AUD Jan 04 30 Jun 10 $1.0661 $1.0034
Man OM-IP 15seven
  AUD Oct 04 30 Jun 10 $1.1030 $1.5930
Man Series 2 OM-IP 15seven
  AUD Dec 06 30 Jun 10 $1.0181 $1.1667
Man OM-IP Stratum
  AUD Dec 04 30 Jun 10 $1.0358 $1.1869
Man OM-IP 16eight
  AUD Dec 05 30 Jun 10 $1.0216 $1.2889
Man OM-IP Eclipse
  AUD Aug 06 30 Jun 10 $1.1210 $1.3011
Man OM-IP 2Eclipse
  AUD Apr 07 30 Jun 10 $1.0771 $1.1714
Man OM-IP 3Eclipse
  AUD Apr 08 30 Jun 10 $1.0000 $0.9552
Man OM-IP Eclipse 2010
  AUD Apr 10 30 Jun 10 $1.0000 $0.9986
Man OM-IP Vision
  AUD Aug 07 30 Jun 10 $1.0000 $0.9377
Man OM-IP Essential
  AUD Aug 08 30 Jun 10 $1.0290 $1.0570
Man OM-IP AHL
  AUD Apr 09 30 Jun 10 $1.0000 $0.9956
Man OM-IP 2AHL
  AUD Jul 09 30 Jun 10 $1.0000 $0.9935
Man OM-IP 3AHL
  AUD Dec 09 30 Jun 10 $1.0000 $1.0439
* Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Performance figures are calculated net of all fees as at the valuation dates shown for each fund.
+ The Capital Guarantee and Rising Guarantee applies to shares held on the maturity date and are subject to the terms of the guarantee for each fund.

Is a flight to safety the only option for investors at the moment?

Crisis in Europe

The European debt crisis continues to threaten global financial stability. To date the crisis has centred on Greece, but it has also affected other economies such as Portugal, Spain, Ireland, Italy and the UK.

Markets were temporarily calmed when the European Central Bank announced a bailout package worth EUR 750 billion in May. However, this did not resolve the structural problems that affect many European economies – such as high levels of debt, mediocre growth rates, ageing demographics, increasing government expenditures and rising unemployment.

Volatility returns

Fears of a double dip recession prevented the crisis from being contained to a handful of European countries. As a result, increased volatility returned to global markets. Stock markets, which had been steadily recovering ground since the lows of early 2009, suffered significant reversals. In contrast, perceived safe-haven assets – such as the US dollar, US government bonds and gold – generally performed well, as market participants increasingly demanded safety over excess returns.

In spite of its relative strength, the Australian economy was not immune to this volatility. As the charts below demonstrate, the worsening global outlook had a significant impact on the value of the Australian stock market as well as the Australian dollar.

S&P/ASX 200 Index

1 April 2010 to 30 June 2010

Source Bloomberg.

 

AUD vs USD

1 April 2010 to 30 June 2010

Source Bloomberg.

 

Investors remain cautious

One consequence of this volatility is that investors are increasingly reluctant to invest in "risky assets" such as shares and corporate bonds. This is particularly true in countries such as Australia, where interest rates remain high enough to attract investment into cash such as term deposits and cash management trusts.

However, this approach has limits. For example, while other investments may offer tax concessions such as capital gains, franking credits and interest deductibility, investments in cash are likely to be taxed at an investor's full marginal rate.

An alternative to "cash hoarding"

Moreover, "cash hoarding" overlooks the fact that there are investment strategies that can perform in a variety of market conditions, including times of high volatility. Managed futures is one of these strategies:

  • Managed futures managers have the ability to trade both long and short, by buying or selling futures contracts respectively. This contrasts with long-only managers, who usually average down during times of falling prices. In other words, a managed futures manager can actually profit from falling asset prices rather than just limiting losses.
  • Managed futures managers typically spread their investments over a wide range of markets and sectors. This diversification allows managers to dynamically increase or decrease their allocations to various markets and sectors depending on where opportunities for profit may lie. Other investments can be constrained by strategy and region (for example, "large cap Australian equities"), and as a result may not have the flexibility of managed futures.

Performance potential of managed futures

To illustrate the potential of managed futures, the chart below looks at the performance of AHL during recent market crises. During the periods considered, AHL outperformed Australian, Asian and world stock market indices. The chart highlights the potential benefits that a managed futures fund, such as AHL, can provide to investors – even during periods of high volatility.

Source Man Investments.
^ Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Performance figures are calculated as at 30 June 2010.

Man Series 6 OM-IP 220: an exciting opportunity for Shareholders

Shares in Man Series 6 OM-IP 220 are due to mature on 31 December 2010. The Directors have passed a resolution to offer Shareholders the opportunity to continue their investment in the Company with the same features offered by their current investment.

Man Series 6 OM-IP 220 was launched in June 2001 with a focus on performance, security and diversification. Since that time, the fund has outperformed Australian, Asian and global stock indices^ while also providing the security of a Capital Guarantee from Westpac. In addition, the Rising Guarantee has locked in a portion of the profits made, increasing the guaranteed amount from A$1.00 per share to A$1.56 per Share (as at 30 June 2010)+.

An Election Notice Pack will be sent to Shareholders in September, outlining the options available and what they must do. Completed and signed Election Notices must be received by Man Investments Australia by 5pm 12 November 2010. For further information, please contact us.

^ Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
+Subject to the terms of the Current Westpac Guarantee.
No money is currently being sought and no applications for continuing investments will be accepted or money received unless the Shareholder has received the Explanatory Memorandum. It is intended that the offer to Shareholders in New Zealand will be made under the Securities (Mutual Recognition of Securities Offerings Regime – Australia) Regulations 2008, subject to meeting the requirements of those regulations.

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